I agree with everything you do. I stopped looking at the polls awhile ago for reasons I will write in an article after election day and have now started to concentrate on things like the record early voter turnout, the fact that Republicans (not elected ones but still important ones) are endorsing Harris, that Trump has essentially spent the last month cancelling media interviews and making appearances in states he will not win (Madison Square Garden was the last in his bizarre road trip) that Republicans have been questioning for months that his get out the vote turnout was working at all (Musk apparently turns out voters WORSE than he runs Twitter). Right now Trump's campaign reminds one of either overconfidence or stupidity and I think we all know which is far more likely at this point.
Throw in the fact that most of the lawsuits his team has been filing to cause election interference by this point have almost all been dismissed (the last in Pennsylvania happened today) and I truly believe that we are just a few days away from defeating Trump for the third (I know) and last time. Trumpism may linger for awhile and I won't pretend for a moment things will be easy for a long time. But I'm very confident that Trump is going to make a certain kind of history on Tuesday. He will join Henry Clay and wILLIAMS Jennings Bryan as only the third man to lose the popular vote three times and as the first to do in three consecutive elections. He's already made so many other kinds of dubious history and will sadly make more but it's this last one I think we'll all care about the most. Donald Trump the biggest loser in the history of the Presidency. For a man whose spent his entire career debasing losers, I can think of no more fitting mark to carve on his political tombstone.