Conclusion: Best Movie/Limited Series et al
BEST LIMITED SERIES
Despite the presence of Unbelievable and Fosse/Verdon, this category comes down to Chernobyl against When They See Us. Chernobyl has been winning awards even when the latter series was in the contest, so I have a strong hunch that it’s going to win here, too.
Should Win/Will Win: Chernobyl.
BEST ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
Could Russell Crowe duplicate his victory at the Globes? Not with Jharrel Jerome, who absolutely should’ve been nominated by the Hollywood Foreign Press. I would like to see Mahershela Ali or Jared Harris win, but I’m pretty sure Jerome will duplicate his Emmy win here.
Should Win: Ali.
Will Win: Jerome.
BEST ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
I think Merritt Weyer and Kaitlyn Dever will have to wait to fight it out. Michelle Williams has been making it a clean sweep so far, and she certainly has been making the iconoclastic speeches the world likes. Don’t rule out an upset by King though.
Should Win/Will Win: Williams.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
Could Jesse Plemmons or one of the nominees from When They See Us pull an upset? This is the Critics Choice, so you never know. But last year, they stayed pretty close to the Globes in their wards, and in all honesty, Stellan Skarsgard should’ve won the Emmy anyway. So I’m going to with the assumption that Chernobyl will continue its reign here.
Should Win/Will Win: Skarsgard.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
It is possible there could be a shift here to, say, Toni Collette for her magnificent work in Unbelievable or Emma Thompson for Years and Years. Personally, I’m inclined to give the edge to Collette for her no-nonsense work as Detective Rasmussen. But just as they did last year, I have a feeling the Critics will be like all other awards groups and honor Patricia Arquette, this time for The Act. Better luck at the Emmys, ladies.
Should Win: Collette.
Will Win: Arquette.
On a side note, I’d prefer to see Deadwood win Best TV Movie, but I think it’s more likely to go to El Camino, and I’m pulling for Desus and Mero in Best Talk Show, but I think its more likely to go to John Oliver.
See you on Monday, with my reactions to the results.