My Predictions For This Year’s Golden Globes TV
Part 2: Movies/Limited Series Et Al
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
Assuming that Hollywood has calmed down from the (justifiable) outrage that When They See Us was completely shut out, they have some decent choices. They could go with Chernobyl, if they wanted to mirror the Emmys (they have the last two years). They could go with Unbelievable, if they wanted to give Netflix a consolation prize (and I’ve now seen the first few episodes; it’s a good series in its own right). They could go with Fosse/Verdon, if they want to establish some independence. I’d prefer that last one, but I think they’re going to keep on with the tradition they’ve followed for Limited Series for the last few years, and mirror the Emmys. And let’s be honest, Chernobyl was absolutely brilliant.
Should Win: Fosse/Verdon.
Will Win: Chernobyl.
BEST ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
Considering my first, second and third choice for this category aren’t here, I’ll have to go with my someone further down the list. Russell Crowe might be a dark horse, but I think The Loudest Voice isn’t going to do well. I’d like to see it go to Jared Harris, whose been one of my favorite actors ever since the early seasons of Fringe. I think he’ll win, though you can’t rule Sam Rockwell out for an upset for his superb work as Bob Fosse. (Now remind me why Mahersala Ali, Ian MacShane and Jharrel Jerome aren’t here?)
Should Win/Will Win: Harris.
BEST ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE/LIMITED SERIES
Have since seen a few episodes of Unbelievable and there’s a good argument for either Merritt Wever and Kaitlyn Dever, particularly the latter. Helen Mirren was superb in Catherine The Great, and Joey King was exceptional in the act. But really, this one is Michelle Williams to lose. She was brilliant in the role, she more than deserves the prize, and she’s always done better at the Globes than any other awards show.
Should Win/Will Win: Williams.
BEST PERFORMANCE IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
All the nominees have a good argument. Skarsgard’s work in Chernobyl was mesmerizing. Alan Arkin and Henry Winkler are brilliant comic talents who more than deserve to be recognized by this body. Even Kieran Culkin’s work in Succession is really superb.
But this is one occasion the Globes are going to right a wrong by the Emmys, and that is by giving a trophy to Andrew Scott, aka ‘Hot Priest’. Will it mean giving a third trophy to Fleabag, which is excessive for the Globes? Sure. But that’s still not a reason to not do it. Scott’s going to be taking every prize the Emmys didn’t give him and that starts Sunday.
Should Win/Will Win: Scott.
BEST PERFORMANCE IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MOVIE OR LIMITED SERIES
Easiest choice of the night, which is odd because it shouldn’t be. Toni Collette was marvelous in her work on Unbelievable. Patricia Arquette won an Emmy for this very role in September. Emily Watson was superb in Chernobyl. And any other year, Helena Bonham Carter would have this locked up.
But from the moment we first saw her as Mary Louise in Big Little Lies — hell, when we heard she had been cast in the role — we knew this was going to go to Meryl Streep. Her performance was one the greatest things about a series that hadn’t justified a second season until we saw her work. And considering how glorious her speech was last time she was front and center, you know the Globes want to hear her speak again. She is not overrated. Certainly not here.
Should Win/Will Win: Streep.
See you Monday with my reactions to the outcome.